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Inflow forecast
modeledNOAA’s National Water Model, short-range run issued Nov 14, 3 PM CST, for the 1 gauged tributary reach feeding Lake Buchanan. The model includes rain that has already fallen plus the near-term rain forecast.
Gauged inflow now
224
cfs · measured
Peak next 17h
434
cfs · ~Sun 9 AM CST · modeled
Projected volume
504
acre-feet over 17h · modeled
If it all reached the lake
+0.02 ft
on Buchanan, before releases · inferred
Projected flow by tributary reach
| Hour | Total (cfs) | Colorado (cfs) |
|---|---|---|
| Sat 5 PM | 226 | 226 |
| Sat 6 PM | 237 | 237 |
| Sat 7 PM | 253 | 253 |
| Sat 8 PM | 273 | 273 |
| Sat 9 PM | 297 | 297 |
| Sat 10 PM | 322 | 322 |
| Sat 11 PM | 348 | 348 |
| Sun 12 AM | 370 | 370 |
| Sun 1 AM | 389 | 389 |
| Sun 2 AM | 403 | 403 |
| Sun 3 AM | 413 | 413 |
| Sun 4 AM | 420 | 420 |
| Sun 5 AM | 425 | 425 |
| Sun 6 AM | 427 | 427 |
| Sun 7 AM | 429 | 429 |
| Sun 8 AM | 432 | 432 |
| Sun 9 AM | 434 | 434 |
Dashed lines are forecast. Values are at the gauges; water takes hours to a couple of days to get from there to the lake. Flows are forecast to rise noticeably. National Water Model via NOAA/NWS · public domain.
“If it all reached the lake” spreads the forecast inflow volume over today’s surveyed surface area (TWDB), ignoring travel time, channel losses, upstream storage decisions and releases. It gives a sense of scale, not a prediction of the lake level. During floods, watch the main page instead.