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Inflow forecast

modeled

NOAA’s National Water Model, short-range run issued Nov 14, 3 PM CST, for the 1 gauged tributary reach feeding Lake Buchanan. The model includes rain that has already fallen plus the near-term rain forecast.

Gauged inflow now

224

cfs · measured

Peak next 17h

434

cfs · ~Sun 9 AM CST · modeled

Projected volume

504

acre-feet over 17h · modeled

If it all reached the lake

+0.02 ft

on Buchanan, before releases · inferred

Projected flow by tributary reach

1282563845 PM1 AM9 AM
Forecast inflow, next 16 hours, all gauged reaches: starts at 226 cfs, peaks at 434 cfs Sun 9 AM (modeled)
HourTotal (cfs)Colorado (cfs)
Sat 5 PM226226
Sat 6 PM237237
Sat 7 PM253253
Sat 8 PM273273
Sat 9 PM297297
Sat 10 PM322322
Sat 11 PM348348
Sun 12 AM370370
Sun 1 AM389389
Sun 2 AM403403
Sun 3 AM413413
Sun 4 AM420420
Sun 5 AM425425
Sun 6 AM427427
Sun 7 AM429429
Sun 8 AM432432
Sun 9 AM434434
ColoradoTotal (all gauged reaches)

Dashed lines are forecast. Values are at the gauges; water takes hours to a couple of days to get from there to the lake. Flows are forecast to rise noticeably. National Water Model via NOAA/NWS · public domain.

“If it all reached the lake” spreads the forecast inflow volume over today’s surveyed surface area (TWDB), ignoring travel time, channel losses, upstream storage decisions and releases. It gives a sense of scale, not a prediction of the lake level. During floods, watch the main page instead.